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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+8.21vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+5.35vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+1.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+3.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.69vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-1.02vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+1.08vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81-3.78vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.60-5.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.70vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-2.53vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.71-4.52vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.12vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21George Washington University0.933.8%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University1.227.0%1st Place
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4.7Tulane University2.0216.7%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University1.869.5%1st Place
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8.29University of Hawaii1.057.0%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.3%1st Place
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5.98Jacksonville University-1.3811.2%1st Place
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9.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont0.483.4%1st Place
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6.22College of Charleston1.819.9%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University0.974.7%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.608.6%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island0.122.8%1st Place
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11.47Christopher Newport University0.652.2%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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13.77University of Michigan-0.641.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.