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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+4.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.41+3.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+0.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+2.31vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26-1.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82-1.65vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.67-0.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.07-1.96vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.55+0.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-5.06vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.74-0.09vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.78-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.93Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.1%1st Place
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3.48Northeastern University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.35Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.16Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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4.94Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.91University of New Hampshire-0.740.0%1st Place
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10.98Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevis Nichols | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 17.3% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 20.3% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Russell | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 35.7% | 21.5% | 4.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Deveau | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 35.7% | 45.0% |
| William Rowland | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 9.5% | 31.9% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.