← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.63+8.19vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.30vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+8.65vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.12+3.02vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.23+5.53vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.73+2.61vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.65+1.91vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.94vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.18+1.89vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University1.36+6.40vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.70-2.11vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.55-6.24vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.05-1.78vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.71vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.27-4.52vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.95-8.21vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University3.80-8.59vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College3.18-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.19University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.65Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.02Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
10.53Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
8.61Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.91College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
10.89Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
16.4Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
5.76Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
11.22University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.48Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
-
7.79Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.41Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.72Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 67.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| William Macdonald | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Hans Henken | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Ian Storck | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.