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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.85vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+8.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+5.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.65vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.80-2.55vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-1.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-6.15vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-3.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.16vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-7.22vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University1.36-0.63vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.84Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.5Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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16.37Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.2Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Graham Landy | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Hans Henken | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.3% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Storck | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 66.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.