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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+6.21vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+8.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+8.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+5.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.56vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+1.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.95vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-0.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.32vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.45vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-2.95vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.27-4.58vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.80-7.64vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.82vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University1.36-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.41Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.89Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.42Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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16.2Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Graham Landy | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Storck | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Hans Henken | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.