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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+8.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+4.78vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+4.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+1.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.97+2.41vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-0.89vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.84vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-2.94vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.47vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-2.07vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.66vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.91vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-2.45vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17George Washington University0.934.2%1st Place
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6.78University of South Florida1.608.5%1st Place
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4.58Tulane University2.0217.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Hawaii1.055.5%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University1.869.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University0.976.0%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University-1.389.4%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.4%1st Place
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6.06College of Charleston1.8110.8%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University1.227.3%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont0.483.5%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.8%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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13.09Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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13.55University of Michigan-0.641.4%1st Place
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11.69Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 32.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.