Race 3A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cecilia Strombeck 16.2% 15.2% 14.4% 15.0% 12.5% 9.7% 8.6% 4.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Sky Adams 13.5% 14.6% 13.0% 13.3% 11.8% 11.4% 8.8% 6.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 10.9% 7.8% 10.8% 9.0% 12.2% 11.4% 13.0% 12.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 20.5% 20.8% 15.7% 14.2% 9.7% 8.6% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 10.7% 11.1% 14.2% 15.3% 9.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.6% 0.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 6.3% 11.5% 35.0% 23.6% 6.1%
Nick Waldo 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 10.0% 15.2% 19.0% 12.7% 4.6% 0.8%
Matthew Russell 7.6% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 11.7% 13.0% 13.4% 7.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Tevis Nichols 7.6% 8.8% 11.3% 10.8% 10.0% 12.7% 13.5% 11.3% 8.5% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 10.4% 12.1% 10.8% 11.5% 12.1% 12.1% 11.1% 9.4% 7.6% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Deveau 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 2.1% 3.4% 10.4% 35.4% 44.2%
William Rowland 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.8% 2.0% 3.4% 10.5% 30.6% 48.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.