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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+8.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+3.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+4.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+3.50vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+2.58vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+1.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-1.79vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.31vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-1.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.56-1.22vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.62-6.51vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.19vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-6.31vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.01vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.93Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.78Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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16.92Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 22.3% | 5.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.