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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.62+6.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+4.47vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+3.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+3.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+1.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-0.81vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.16vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.93-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-4.83vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-3.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-3.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.17-5.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.02vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.56-4.90vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.7Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.1Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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16.92Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnstone | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 22.5% | 7.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.