← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+8.32vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.62+5.92vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.84+4.03vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.38+4.57vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.56+6.82vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.73+1.28vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.92-0.47vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.16+1.50vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.87vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.17-0.18vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.41-2.25vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.96-1.19vs Predicted
-
13Michigan State University0.41+3.94vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.13-4.59vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.72-7.76vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.93-5.37vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont3.41-8.34vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College3.52-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.92College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.03University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.57Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.82Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
-
7.28Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.53Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.5Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
12.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.75Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
10.81Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
16.94Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.41Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.24Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.63Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.9Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 22.0% | 7.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 77.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.