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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+6.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+3.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+4.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.87vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.49vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.96+2.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-0.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-2.22vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-4.63vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.56-2.39vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-7.82vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.01vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.61Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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16.92Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 8.2% |
| William Bailey | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 4.7% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 8.4% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.