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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+8.80vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+4.40vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96+6.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.09vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+3.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.84vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-1.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.19vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-1.22vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.26vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.21vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-6.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.56-3.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.62-9.11vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.8Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.04Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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16.92Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| David Larson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 7.5% |
| William Bailey | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 4.9% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.