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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+7.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+6.82vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96+6.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.80vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+0.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52-0.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56+2.96vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16-0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.91vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-3.48vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-6.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-6.54vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-5.38vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.41-8.28vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.21Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.96Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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16.95Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 8.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 8.8% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.