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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+2.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.41+3.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+0.94vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.55+5.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82-0.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-0.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.67-1.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.07-3.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-5.01vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.74-0.10vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.78-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Northeastern University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.35Harvard University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.21Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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4.41Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.9University of New Hampshire-0.740.0%1st Place
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10.98Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 22.3% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 33.0% | 22.8% | 6.7% |
| Sky Adams | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Waldo | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Russell | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Deveau | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 10.8% | 34.8% | 44.2% |
| William Rowland | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 10.2% | 31.4% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.