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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+5.61vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+2.69vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+3.03vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+7.41vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+4.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.97+2.37vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.05-0.79vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.47vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-4.83vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.67vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.71-3.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-4.86vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Georgetown University1.869.2%1st Place
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4.69Tulane University2.0215.4%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University-1.3810.2%1st Place
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11.41Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.4%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University0.976.0%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.9%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida1.608.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Hawaii1.055.8%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University1.226.8%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.8111.2%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University0.934.7%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island0.122.8%1st Place
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10.5Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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10.14University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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13.04Connecticut College-0.131.7%1st Place
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13.74University of Michigan-0.641.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 23.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.