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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+5.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.56+10.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+7.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+4.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+4.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+1.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+0.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52+0.08vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-1.82vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+0.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-3.12vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.32vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-4.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.94vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-9.08vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-8.35vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.22Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.8Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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16.93Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 4.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.