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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+7.31vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.62+5.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.40vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+4.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+4.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+2.71vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41+0.47vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+1.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-2.76vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.73-6.93vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.24vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-6.21vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.56-4.94vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.41-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.58Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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12.06Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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16.93Michigan State University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.5% | 7.9% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Caudell | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.