← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.65+6.03vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+7.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.72+7.87vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+1.24vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.21+3.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.27+2.35vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.92+2.77vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.19+0.59vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.94+0.69vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.24vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.96-1.25vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.77-1.24vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.48-5.65vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.87-4.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.02-5.65vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.92-6.15vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.57-9.78vs Predicted
-
18Michigan State University-1.70-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.03Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
5.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
8.54Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.77Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.59Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.69Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
11.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
9.75Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.76Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
7.35Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.64Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
-
9.85Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.22College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
-
17.8Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 0.2% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Whipple | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 96.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.