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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+7.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+8.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+5.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.76vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.57+0.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+2.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-2.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-1.05vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.96-3.57vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-5.72vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-5.00vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.02-6.51vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.48-9.32vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.70-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.09College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.0Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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17.78Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Whipple | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 95.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.