← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.57+6.40vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.10+3.30vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.27+5.57vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.87+5.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.72+5.47vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.96+3.68vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.68vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.92+1.73vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.77+1.43vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.92+0.06vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.02-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.21-3.07vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.19-4.40vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.94-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.65-8.23vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.48-8.48vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.85vs Predicted
-
18Michigan State University-1.70-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
-
5.3Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.96Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.68Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.73Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
10.43Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.06Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.93Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.6Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.39Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
6.77Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.52Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
17.8Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Whipple | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 0.4% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 0.6% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.