← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.77+9.56vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.48+5.63vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.65+4.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.27+4.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.72+5.50vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.02+3.40vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.21+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.19+0.66vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.92+0.82vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.57-2.61vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.13vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.94-1.94vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.10-7.86vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.96-4.71vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.87-5.06vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.92-6.09vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.16vs Predicted
-
18Michigan State University-1.70-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.56Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
7.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.28University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.5University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.4U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.6Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.66Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.82Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.39College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
-
11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.06Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
5.14Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.29Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.94Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.91Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
17.8Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 0.4% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Whipple | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.