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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+7.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+5.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+5.63vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.94+5.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+5.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.02+2.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+2.34vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-0.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.57-2.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-1.82vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.28vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-5.04vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-8.48vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.70+0.85vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.96-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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5.21Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.96Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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17.85Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Whipple | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 97.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.