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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.57+6.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+8.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+4.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+5.61vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+4.56vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.02+3.44vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72+2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-2.27vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.94-1.98vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-7.86vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-5.30vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.87-5.87vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.48-9.39vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.70-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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10.13Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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17.8Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Whipple | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Booker | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 0.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.