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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+7.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+7.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+7.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.77+6.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+4.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.78vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.73vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-2.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87+0.99vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-1.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-4.80vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.57-5.96vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-6.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-6.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.94-6.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.84vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.70-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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9.99Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.04College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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17.79Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Whipple | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 0.4% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 95.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.