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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+5.38vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+3.94vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+4.54vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+6.54vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-0.07vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+2.63vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College-0.13+5.12vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.05-0.72vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+0.56vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-4.91vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-7.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-5.94vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Georgetown University1.8610.2%1st Place
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4.67Tulane University2.0216.0%1st Place
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6.94University of South Florida1.609.0%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University0.975.5%1st Place
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11.54Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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5.93Jacksonville University-1.3810.6%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.0%1st Place
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13.12Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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8.28University of Hawaii1.055.7%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston1.8110.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.4%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University0.934.4%1st Place
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11.31University of Rhode Island0.123.0%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont0.484.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Michigan-0.641.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% |
| Emily Allen | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 25.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.