Race 5A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Byrne 9.2% 8.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 12.7% 12.3% 10.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 16.3% 17.2% 15.2% 13.9% 11.3% 10.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Sky Adams 14.8% 12.2% 13.8% 12.7% 11.8% 13.2% 9.3% 6.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nick Waldo 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 8.4% 8.8% 13.3% 12.8% 18.8% 14.3% 4.6% 0.2%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 22.4% 19.0% 16.1% 12.7% 10.5% 7.7% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Russell 5.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 10.7% 10.7% 13.0% 12.6% 15.8% 6.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Jacob Tronaas 6.3% 7.8% 6.3% 9.5% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 16.4% 14.4% 8.2% 2.7% 0.1%
Tevis Nichols 9.0% 9.1% 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 10.2% 13.5% 12.3% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Conor Fowler 10.0% 11.6% 12.6% 13.4% 13.6% 11.6% 9.4% 8.8% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 3.3% 2.1% 3.8% 4.1% 7.2% 12.1% 34.3% 21.8% 6.4%
William Rowland 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 2.7% 11.3% 33.9% 46.0%
Elizabeth Deveau 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 3.3% 11.2% 31.8% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.