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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+3.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+7.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+3.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+4.37vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+1.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.55vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-0.19vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+3.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.05-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12+0.29vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-1.54vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-3.96vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-2.30vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University-1.38-10.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Tulane University2.0214.3%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.6%1st Place
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6.59Georgetown University1.869.6%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University0.976.2%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston1.8110.2%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.2%1st Place
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6.81University of South Florida1.609.1%1st Place
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11.62Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University1.227.2%1st Place
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8.28University of Hawaii1.055.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island0.122.9%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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13.14Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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13.7University of Michigan-0.641.5%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University-1.3810.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 14.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 24.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 34.1% |
| Emily Allen | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.