Race 6A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 19.8% 18.5% 17.7% 15.0% 10.6% 7.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 16.3% 16.4% 15.5% 14.5% 10.2% 11.4% 8.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 9.4% 7.5% 10.6% 6.9% 11.6% 10.4% 13.4% 14.0% 10.9% 4.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Jacob Tronaas 4.6% 6.1% 7.1% 9.1% 10.8% 10.1% 12.2% 13.9% 14.2% 8.9% 2.8% 0.2%
Nick Waldo 4.2% 5.0% 4.6% 6.8% 8.9% 8.5% 9.9% 13.9% 19.8% 13.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Matthew Russell 7.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 13.0% 10.6% 14.6% 14.7% 8.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Ryan Byrne 10.5% 10.1% 8.9% 12.1% 10.2% 12.0% 12.9% 10.7% 8.1% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Sky Adams 15.8% 15.3% 12.1% 12.3% 11.3% 10.4% 9.7% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 10.2% 11.1% 13.3% 12.3% 13.1% 11.5% 11.0% 8.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 12.9% 33.6% 22.5% 6.3%
William Rowland 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 11.6% 33.9% 46.0%
Elizabeth Deveau 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 10.4% 32.9% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.