Race 1A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Domenic Bove 7.0% 7.6% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 6.9% 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.9% 6.3% 4.2% 2.7%
OJ O'Connell 16.7% 15.0% 14.0% 11.7% 10.2% 10.4% 6.8% 5.0% 3.8% 3.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Michael Gemperline 8.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.4% 7.5% 8.7% 7.6% 9.4% 6.4% 6.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Yann Cudennec 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.2% 9.2% 11.0% 18.5% 17.8%
Bradley Brown 4.6% 6.9% 6.8% 8.0% 7.7% 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 6.9% 5.5% 3.1%
John Silvestri 5.7% 5.1% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.8% 10.3% 9.4% 6.3% 4.7%
Ravi Parent 13.7% 13.0% 10.7% 11.4% 9.7% 9.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.1% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Matthew Lyons 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 6.8% 7.8% 10.1% 9.9% 6.6% 7.6% 6.2% 7.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.7%
Samuel Scribner 3.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 9.1% 9.4% 12.9% 15.7% 21.0%
Ellis Tonissi 5.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.8% 9.0% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% 9.1% 4.9% 2.7%
Viktor Wettergren 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 8.1% 8.1% 7.4% 9.7% 9.9% 9.2% 9.7% 6.5%
Hunter Johnstone 13.7% 13.5% 13.5% 11.1% 10.7% 9.1% 7.6% 6.1% 5.5% 3.2% 3.4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.4%
John Wehner 5.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.8% 7.5% 6.1% 7.7% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 9.3% 8.5% 7.5% 4.3%
George Luber 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.8% 6.1% 10.3% 18.9% 34.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.