Race 2A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Viktor Wettergren 4.8% 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 9.6% 5.5%
Domenic Bove 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 8.7% 8.0% 6.7% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 8.1% 7.3% 5.4% 3.4% 2.5%
Ellis Tonissi 7.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.3% 8.1% 9.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.0% 5.7% 2.9%
OJ O'Connell 15.7% 15.7% 12.4% 10.4% 11.8% 8.9% 7.7% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Michael Gemperline 6.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.0% 10.5% 6.8% 7.3% 9.1% 6.9% 6.3% 5.3% 2.5% 1.1%
Yann Cudennec 2.3% 3.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 3.6% 5.0% 4.4% 4.8% 8.0% 11.0% 12.5% 17.2% 19.7%
Matthew Lyons 9.2% 9.2% 6.9% 7.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 7.1% 8.2% 6.5% 4.8% 4.1% 0.8%
Samuel Scribner 2.3% 3.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 6.3% 8.7% 11.3% 18.3% 20.2%
Bradley Brown 6.8% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 8.3% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 6.3% 5.3% 3.1%
Ravi Parent 11.6% 11.2% 11.4% 11.8% 9.7% 8.7% 9.2% 7.2% 6.4% 6.4% 3.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4%
John Wehner 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.1% 7.9% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5%
Hunter Johnstone 13.0% 13.5% 13.0% 12.3% 9.7% 8.6% 8.7% 7.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3%
George Luber 2.3% 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 6.4% 12.5% 18.5% 34.7%
John Silvestri 5.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.1% 5.7% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.