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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+5.16vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+4.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+0.59vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.67+5.24vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24-0.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-0.20vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-1.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39-1.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.28-2.54vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.65-1.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.65vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.59-6.76vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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10.24McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.35Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| John Silvestri | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| John Wehner | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.