Race 4A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Viktor Wettergren 5.2% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 11.1% 8.5% 6.0%
Matthew Lyons 8.2% 10.5% 7.8% 8.9% 7.4% 7.1% 10.3% 8.6% 7.8% 8.2% 5.9% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6%
Domenic Bove 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 7.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 10.8% 8.0% 7.3% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
Michael Gemperline 8.1% 9.0% 9.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 6.8% 7.8% 7.7% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Ellis Tonissi 5.0% 6.1% 6.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.4% 8.5% 9.5% 6.7% 6.1% 3.4%
OJ O'Connell 14.3% 15.1% 13.4% 12.2% 10.2% 9.2% 6.5% 5.4% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Yann Cudennec 2.8% 2.2% 4.3% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 8.2% 9.7% 11.7% 15.4% 18.7%
Ravi Parent 13.4% 12.6% 10.4% 11.3% 8.9% 7.9% 8.9% 7.3% 5.5% 5.6% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Bradley Brown 6.6% 5.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 4.7% 2.3%
John Silvestri 5.4% 4.8% 5.7% 5.6% 7.7% 7.4% 9.1% 7.4% 6.9% 8.6% 10.4% 9.3% 7.7% 4.0%
Hunter Johnstone 14.7% 13.0% 12.5% 10.0% 11.2% 9.1% 6.9% 7.1% 5.1% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
John Wehner 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.1% 8.7% 10.1% 7.9% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 5.4%
Samuel Scribner 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 8.7% 12.6% 18.5% 18.3%
George Luber 1.9% 1.6% 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 3.7% 2.3% 3.7% 5.7% 5.6% 6.3% 8.7% 17.8% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.