Race 2B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Sinks 21.0% 19.5% 14.4% 11.6% 9.6% 6.8% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Cooper Nefsky 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.4% 8.5% 7.1% 4.9% 1.8%
Dana Rohde 15.6% 16.0% 12.3% 13.4% 10.7% 8.6% 7.0% 7.2% 4.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Steven Pelissier 4.5% 7.9% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 9.7% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Thomas Gallagher 2.1% 2.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 9.8% 10.2% 13.1% 13.0% 12.7%
Kendal Richardson 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 10.0% 11.7% 9.6% 10.6% 7.3% 8.4% 5.8% 5.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.2%
John Cappetta 3.8% 2.2% 4.1% 6.5% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0% 7.0% 7.7% 10.1% 13.1% 11.7% 10.9% 8.2%
Charles Welsh 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 9.4% 8.8% 7.6% 6.8% 5.7% 4.3% 3.2% 0.3%
John Rolander 15.3% 15.0% 14.1% 11.6% 12.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.9% 3.3% 2.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Philip Koch 3.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% 5.6% 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 10.7% 12.5% 10.4% 6.3%
Victoria McGruer 4.0% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 6.7% 7.3% 6.8% 9.4% 7.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.5% 10.4% 5.3%
Reed Lorimer 5.2% 6.0% 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.9% 10.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.8% 2.2%
Markus Suorsa 2.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 7.7% 11.5% 18.3% 33.6%
Karl Ryder 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 1.8% 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 13.1% 18.0% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.