Race 3B

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Thomas Gallagher 2.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.8% 6.0% 7.4% 8.5% 11.7% 11.6% 13.4% 11.4% 6.9%
Cooper Nefsky 4.3% 6.7% 6.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.9% 8.5% 9.2% 12.0% 11.6% 7.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.8%
John Rolander 16.8% 15.7% 13.9% 11.5% 12.1% 10.0% 7.1% 5.3% 3.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 4.9% 6.9% 6.2% 7.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.8% 9.0% 11.7% 9.2% 8.3% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Charles Sinks 18.6% 18.9% 16.1% 12.3% 10.6% 9.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Markus Suorsa 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 2.8% 3.8% 4.1% 7.1% 11.0% 13.5% 20.6% 26.3%
Kendal Richardson 10.7% 9.3% 11.7% 11.5% 9.3% 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 6.4% 6.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Victoria McGruer 4.8% 3.4% 5.2% 6.2% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 10.3% 9.2% 9.5% 11.0% 11.2% 6.7% 4.1%
Philip Koch 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 3.1% 5.1% 4.9% 8.1% 9.3% 10.9% 11.0% 12.5% 12.9% 6.8% 4.0%
Karl Ryder 1.7% 0.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.8% 4.2% 3.8% 6.4% 8.3% 9.8% 15.3% 20.6% 20.8%
Charles Welsh 8.3% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 10.3% 10.7% 7.4% 5.9% 5.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Steven Pelissier 4.6% 6.8% 6.9% 8.1% 9.7% 8.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.6% 8.2% 8.3% 4.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 4.9% 5.0% 8.2% 11.6% 21.8% 34.2%
Dana Rohde 16.7% 15.0% 12.6% 15.0% 10.0% 10.1% 8.1% 5.1% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.