Race 7A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 20.9% 18.9% 16.3% 14.0% 11.8% 8.0% 5.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 17.5% 15.8% 14.3% 13.4% 11.1% 10.8% 7.9% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sky Adams 15.8% 11.0% 13.7% 12.2% 12.3% 13.6% 9.8% 6.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 7.0% 10.9% 9.8% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 13.5% 10.7% 7.7% 4.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.7% 11.8% 11.3% 10.4% 6.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Jacob Tronaas 6.2% 6.7% 8.0% 6.2% 8.7% 10.3% 13.7% 13.1% 15.4% 9.0% 2.5% 0.2%
Matthew Russell 6.9% 8.8% 7.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.1% 12.1% 15.6% 12.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Nick Waldo 5.8% 4.6% 5.9% 5.5% 7.4% 8.6% 9.7% 13.8% 19.7% 15.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Conor Fowler 9.4% 12.0% 13.7% 12.0% 12.4% 12.4% 9.7% 10.0% 6.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Deveau 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 10.5% 35.4% 43.3%
William Rowland 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 3.8% 8.2% 32.9% 49.4%
Jacob Hardy 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 3.8% 7.3% 12.9% 35.6% 22.4% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.