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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+5.50vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+7.65vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+2.93vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+1.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+3.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.75vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+1.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13+2.98vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12-0.89vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65-1.36vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.71-3.44vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.05-6.77vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.22-8.54vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.64-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Georgetown University1.869.4%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.914.5%1st Place
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4.75Tulane University2.0215.7%1st Place
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6.93University of South Florida1.608.0%1st Place
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6.0Jacksonville University-1.3810.9%1st Place
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9.11George Washington University0.934.4%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.2%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.819.4%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont0.483.3%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University0.976.4%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island0.122.8%1st Place
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11.64Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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8.23University of Hawaii1.056.2%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University1.227.8%1st Place
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13.73University of Michigan-0.641.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 23.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.