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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.47vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+7.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+8.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+5.35vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.46vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-2.93vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.65vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.97-0.74vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.40vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-4.78vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.24Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.35Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.07Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.22George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 16.7% |
| Marly Isler | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lily Katz | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 24.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| India Johnstone | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.