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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+7.70vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+7.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.49vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.71vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+1.77vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.34vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.77vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.38+1.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30+0.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-2.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.41vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.58vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.71-9.38vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.35-8.91vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.97-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.9Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.15George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.75Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.28Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.62College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| India Johnstone | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 19.1% |
| Marly Isler | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.