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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.45vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+2.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+5.37vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+6.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.45vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.55vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.46vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30+1.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.97-0.74vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.57vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.07vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-6.98vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.37Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.05George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.48Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.46Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.02University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Lily Katz | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| India Johnstone | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 26.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.