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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+7.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+8.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.13vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.97+6.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+3.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-2.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-2.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-0.80vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.24vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.13vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.40vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-9.04vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.76Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.55University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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11.94George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.2Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.76Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Marly Isler | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 27.4% |
| India Johnstone | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Lily Katz | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.