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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+8.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+7.75vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.44vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+5.39vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30+3.41vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-0.65vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-1.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.49vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.45vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.12vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.07vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.97-3.31vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.38-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.41Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.35Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.9Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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11.8George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Lily Katz | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Marly Isler | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 28.2% |
| India Johnstone | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.