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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+8.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+7.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+4.84vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+3.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+2.09vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30+3.76vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.23vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-3.70vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38+0.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-4.95vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.05vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.08vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.06vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.04vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.84Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.35Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.09University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.76Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.64George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Marly Isler | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 19.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Lily Katz | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| India Johnstone | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 20.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.