← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.99+8.07vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.21+6.06vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.76+6.66vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.38+7.22vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.63+1.08vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.06+2.53vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.75+2.78vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.38-0.89vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.74vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.42-2.88vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.90-1.39vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.35-4.94vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.85-3.86vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.71-8.27vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.75-5.06vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.37-8.62vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.30-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.07University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
9.06Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.66Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
-
12.22George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.08Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.53Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.78Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.11Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.12Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.61University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.06Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.14Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
6.73College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.94Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
12.53Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Marly Isler | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% |
| India Johnstone | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 18.4% |
| Lily Katz | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.