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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+8.07vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+5.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+6.66vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+5.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+3.17vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.86vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.63-2.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-4.89vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-6.89vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.09vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-4.19vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.38-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.66Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.17University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.81Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.18George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Marly Isler | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Lily Katz | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 20.3% |
| India Johnstone | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.