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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.33vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+6.05vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+5.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.25vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38+2.64vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-0.44vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.37vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-6.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-6.90vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.08vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.42-8.93vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.76-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.65Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.64George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.65College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.65Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| Lily Katz | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| India Johnstone | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 19.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.