Race 8A

harvard-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sky Adams 14.2% 13.1% 11.0% 14.6% 13.1% 11.4% 8.9% 7.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 21.8% 19.4% 15.9% 14.3% 10.1% 8.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 10.2% 7.8% 11.5% 9.2% 10.1% 13.0% 11.9% 13.2% 8.4% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 9.2% 11.2% 13.0% 12.6% 11.2% 11.9% 10.7% 9.1% 7.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Cecilia Strombeck 17.0% 17.7% 14.9% 12.1% 13.3% 8.4% 7.1% 4.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Russell 6.3% 7.7% 7.5% 6.7% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 15.4% 8.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Tevis Nichols 8.3% 10.1% 9.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.5% 12.5% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Jacob Tronaas 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 12.3% 13.4% 14.0% 8.8% 3.0% 0.1%
Nick Waldo 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.7% 7.5% 10.3% 11.1% 16.1% 18.2% 12.9% 3.2% 0.1%
Jacob Hardy 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 3.5% 2.2% 3.2% 5.3% 5.8% 13.0% 34.0% 21.5% 6.2%
William Rowland 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.8% 2.7% 10.5% 34.7% 45.9%
Elizabeth Deveau 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 10.0% 33.6% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.