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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+9.62vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.38+10.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.41vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+1.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.20vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.70vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.97-2.33vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-10.29vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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12.33George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.68Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.85University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| India Johnstone | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Lily Katz | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 26.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.