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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+7.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.45vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+6.70vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+5.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+6.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+1.17vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-0.94vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.65vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-0.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.61vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-3.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-5.53vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-7.75vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.42-8.83vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.30-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.41George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.24Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.03Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.52Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| India Johnstone | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 18.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Lily Katz | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Marly Isler | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.