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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+7.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+4.11vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.75vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+1.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.46vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76+1.82vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-0.94vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30+1.82vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-1.39vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.51vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-6.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-5.06vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-7.32vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.38-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.82Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.82Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.61University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.26Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.18George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Marly Isler | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 22.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| India Johnstone | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.