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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+4.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+3.15vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.82vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35+0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76+1.07vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.65vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-2.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.44vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-2.31vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-3.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.30vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.07Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.8Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.69Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.46George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lily Katz | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Marly Isler | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 18.7% |
| India Johnstone | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 18.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.