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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+8.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+7.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+6.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.60vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+4.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.22+4.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+4.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.59-0.36vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-0.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-3.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-3.62vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.39vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.58-6.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-9.47vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.61Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.