← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.56+8.64vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.55vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.91+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.29+6.51vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.50+4.60vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.60+3.29vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.58+2.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.59+1.26vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.05-1.74vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.29vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.96-3.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.01-4.12vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.22-2.25vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida2.24-3.53vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.51-5.39vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.97-3.90vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.05-5.21vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College2.54-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.17Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
10.51Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.6Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.29College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.35Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.88Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.75Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.61George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
-
12.1Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
11.79Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.28Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 17.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.