← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.54+8.75vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.58+7.60vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.60+6.55vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.59+5.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.96+2.71vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.56+3.43vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.01+0.44vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.51+1.56vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.24+1.80vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.52vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.05+0.75vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.97+0.33vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.91-5.19vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.86vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.50-5.35vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.29-5.33vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.05-9.55vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.22-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.75Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.6Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.55College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.71University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.43Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.44Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.56George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
11.75Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
12.33Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.65Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.67Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
7.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.73Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 19.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.