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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+8.89vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+7.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.16vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+5.68vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+5.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+2.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.59+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.03vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-1.22vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-2.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.66vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.37vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-6.48vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-6.22vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.22-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.63Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 16.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.