← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.86+5.27vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.65+9.57vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.81+2.88vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.44vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University1.47+1.13vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.48+3.90vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University-1.38-1.32vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.60-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.35vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University0.71+0.27vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University0.93-2.08vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii0.47-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University0.97-4.75vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College-0.13-1.14vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.22-7.68vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.64-2.59vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island0.12-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.27Georgetown University1.8610.4%1st Place
-
11.57Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
-
5.88College of Charleston1.8111.8%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.0%1st Place
-
6.13Tulane University1.4710.6%1st Place
-
9.9University of Vermont0.483.8%1st Place
-
5.68Jacksonville University-1.3812.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of South Florida1.609.0%1st Place
-
9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.915.2%1st Place
-
10.27Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
-
8.92George Washington University0.934.9%1st Place
-
9.83University of Hawaii0.474.0%1st Place
-
8.25Old Dominion University0.976.2%1st Place
-
12.86Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
-
7.32Northeastern University1.227.5%1st Place
-
13.41University of Michigan-0.641.4%1st Place
-
11.19University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Allen | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 22.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 33.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.