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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+3.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.25-0.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98-0.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41-0.95vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.10+1.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.70-3.28vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.06-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.49-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.31Boston University3.030.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Miami3.250.3%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University2.980.2%1st Place
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4.05Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.52Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.72Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.51Middlebury College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.93University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Millham | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 30.8% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Towill | 17.6% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 26.2% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 20.9% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 25.1% | 32.8% | 27.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Briggs | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 33.5% | 26.7% |
| William Trumper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.