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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+8.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+7.57vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+6.65vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+8.59vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+4.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.59+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+2.58vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.50+0.59vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.02vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.58-2.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.06vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-7.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-8.54vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-5.35vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.22-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.05Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 21.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Christina Lewis | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.